PROVIA Anchors New Advisory Board on Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation, and Climate Services for CMIP6
As part of the World Climate Research Programme, th Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project (CMIP) was developed to better understand past,
present, and future climate changes arising from either natural,
unforced variability or in response to changes in radiative forcing in a
multi-model context. CMIP is now in its sixth phase (CMIP6). To help
form a more coherent and productive interaction between the climate
modelers in CMIP, the Vulnerability, Impacts, and Adaptation (VIA)
community, and the Climate Services (CS) community, the Vulnerability,
Impacts, Adaptation, and Climate Services (VIACS) Advisory Board for
CMIP6 was created. The VIACS AB will contribute to the design of
CMIP6-endorsed Model Intercomparison Projects (MIPs) and online analysis
capabilities that will enhance the benefit of CMIP simulations. The
Advisory Board will be anchored in PROVIA and include direct
participation of representatives from numerous regions, impacts sectors,
and prominent international groups such as the IPCC Task Group on Data
and Scenario Support from Impacts and Climate Analysis (TGICA), the
International Committee On New Integrated Climate change assessment
Scenarios (ICONICS), the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and
Improvement Project (AgMIP), and the World Climate Research Programme
Working Group on Regional Climate (WGRC). The Co- Chairs of the Advisory
Board are Alexander Ruane from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space
Studies and Claas Teichmann from the Climate Service Center.
The VIACS Advisory Board will facilitate efforts to address the key
science questions of CMIP6. The VIA and CS communities have an acute
interest in and high reliance on the best possible information about how
the earth system (in particular the impacted elements crucial to
societal sectors) will respond to forcing, how model biases potentially
influence decision-making in impacted sectors, and how climate
variability, predictability, and uncertainty may be handled in preparing
climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies that benefit
impacted sectors.
The first action of the VIACS Advisory Board was to task its members to
solicit feedback from their respective communities as to the variables
and experiments of highest priority for their planned applications of
CMIP6 model output. The Advisory Board will provide input in particular
on the development and application of the representative concentration
pathways and shared socioeconomic pathways. Along with the historical
period so called DECK (Diagnostic, Evaluation and Characterization of
Klima) simulations, they are the basis for most state-of-the-art
projections of climate changes utilized in assessments such as in the
IPCC Working Group II.
Cynthia Rosenzweig
Member, PROVIA Interim Scientific Steering Committee
Senior Research Scientist at NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
Originally posted here.
Nenhum comentário:
Postar um comentário